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Performance 2009 to 2023 (compound annual)

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North American economy in retreat

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10 months 1 week ago #128141 by alexgreat
alexgreat replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Remember these numbers can be adjusted or some would say manipulated. Maybe they come in with a low number so they can pause rate hikes. I guess 175k

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10 months 1 week ago #128140 by Gambler
Gambler replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
I will go with 265k, the job market still looks strong. Post covid hiring still in high gear

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10 months 1 week ago #128139 by lynnsa10
lynnsa10 replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Analysts have estimated that hiring slowed to a still-healthy pace of 190,000 added jobs last month, according to a survey by the data provider FactSet. That would mark a decline from the robust 253,000 jobs that were gained in April and would fall below the average for the previous three months of about 220,000. The unemployment rate is projected to rise slightly to 3.5% from a five-decade low of 3.4%.

I am guessing 225k, anyone else

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1 year 1 week ago #128111 by Gambler
Gambler replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
My guess 250k

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1 year 1 week ago #128110 by lynnsa10
lynnsa10 replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Jobs numbers tomorrow
The consensus estimate is for nonfarm payroll to increase 239K in March vs. +311K in February, with unemployment rate unchanged at 3.6%.

I go with 170k. The Fed needs a low number so they will make one

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1 year 2 months ago #128019 by RonS
RonS replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Wow employers added a booming 517,000 jobs in January as hiring unexpectedly surged despite high inflation, rising interest rates and the prospect of a weakening economy.

The unemployment rate fell from 3.5% to 3.4%, lowest since 1969, the Labor Department said Friday.

Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had forecast 185,000 job gain.

This gives the Fed a lot more room to raise rates

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1 year 3 months ago #127942 by lynnsa10
lynnsa10 replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
alex, good point. I think the markets will eventually buckle because The Fed will probably take rates to high and we get a hard landing. You can see the layoff notices rising

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1 year 3 months ago #127935 by alexgreat
alexgreat replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
It's Fed day and 1/2 point expected. I think what Powell says at 2.30 might rattle markets

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1 year 4 months ago #127916 by lynnsa10
lynnsa10 replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
U.S. adds 263,000 jobs in November - beating economist expectations of 200,000 - and unemployment stays at 3.7%

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1 year 5 months ago #127888 by alexgreat
alexgreat replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Nonfarm payrolls are expected to increase about 200K in October, down from the 263K jobs added in September. The number came in at 261,000. I was going to guess 250k but slept in lol

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1 year 6 months ago #127849 by Gambler
Gambler replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
The number came in at 263K around consensus, but inflation woes will remain
as the unemployment rate dropped lower to 3.5%
nypost.com/2022/10/07/us-added-263000-jo...with-inflation-woes/

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1 year 6 months ago #127848 by Gambler
Gambler replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Alex, I go higher at 325

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