This is a new section but will be used to highlight our analysis of Stock Market Trends, Interest Rates, Bonds and Commodities
On Seeking Alpha U.S. Recession And Bear Market On Horizon January 2016
Past major market calls tops, bottoms, reversals
Called a top in Silver, sold all Silver stocks and in total sold or took profits in 17 precious metals stocks
Early to mid 2014
In this period we sold most Oil stocks early in 2014 with fears of not only a Oil price correction but a market correction and deflation wave. There were key levels I was watching to see if trends were continuing or would change.
- A drop below $90 on Oil meant we were going a lot lower
- I was watching $1200 Gold to see IF this would hold. And 85 on the US$ index, a break above meant a move higher.
- I was also watching the 285 level on the Nasdaq Biotech ETF 'IBB' to see if we would get a double top or go higher. On the S&P 500 we were expected the 1850 area in the sell off to hold.
The results, the deflation continued in part because a break above 85 on the US$ index, The $90 level on Oil failed and so did $1200 on Gold. The IBB and S&P 500 broke higher after the expected correction.
As a result we expected a blow off phase in 2015, a topping and roll over in U.S. equity markets and the US$ Index and a bottom in Gold and Gold stocks. We do not see any good signal of a bottom in Oil yet, but we dipped our toes back in buying some high yielding Pipeline stocks in late 2015.
These trend expectations are outlined some in these 3 issues in September/October 2014
With our website getting hacked I lost the chronological order of newsletters so it takes some time to look up the issues that predicted the major market turns!
2007 and 2008 Bubble Prediction coming soon
2000 tech bubble projection coming soon