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Resource Stock Update - V15 #8.3 - Markets, Oil, CMT, BUK, STP, KCL, CLL, HOC, WZR, LFD May. 6, 2009
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The bear market rally has continued with renewed strength this week, but is approaching major resistance areas that I was expecting to see and where I also expect the rally to exhaust itself - we are also approaching the slower summer season.
S&P 500 chart

The Toronto index is also near resistance, approaching 10,000
Oil is at $56 today, up from $54 and at near term resistance and oil stocks have been strong with better oil prices and a rally in the stock market.
Oil chart

I think there is more opportunity in Nat Gas, so with the rally and good prices on oil stocks, I am going to sell and lighten up on these. We have already sold pretty much all of our uranium stocks. I want to focus mainly on Nat Gas (Compton, Bridge, Talisman, Ultra Petroleum) and alternate wind energy (Vesta, Western Wind and soon AmMex Gold). There is still opportunity with oil stocks, and we will be selective, but also adding some more wind and Nat Gas stocks.
Compton Petroleum TSX:CMT NY:CMZ Recent Price C$1.09 Entry Price $0.62 Opinion - take profits
I last mentioned CMT when it was in the $0.90s to take profits at $1.00 or higher but it did not get there. It is now, so I would sell 1/2 of the position. We will keep the rest long term, because Nat Gas prices have to go back up a lot higher from the current $3.50 area
Tel: (403) 237-9400
http://www.comptonpetroleum.com
http://www.stockhouse.com/comp_info.asp?symbol=CMT&table=LIST
Southern Pacific TSXV:STP Recent Price C$0.45 Entry Price $2.02 Opinion - sell at $0.45
We got STP as a result of a merger with Rochester and STP like many of the oil sand stocks has seen a big recovery in price. It is now up 300% from its $0.11 price at the beginning of the year and is now approaching a resistance area on the chart, so I will sell the entire position.
Connacher TSXV:CLL Recent Price C$1.33 Entry Price $0.60 Opinion - sell over $1.50
I am waiting to see this stock at least get to $1.50 to sell
I will also consider selling the few penny junior oils we have left, if I see a move up in their price, like Texalta, Champlain, Greencastle and California Oil&Gas
http://www.stockhouse.com/comp_info.asp?symbol=CLL&table=LIST
Potash One TSX:KCL Recent Price $2.04 Entry Price $2.08 Opinion - hold
The last couple updates I have suggested buying the stock, now finally in the last couple days it broke through the $1.85 resistance area and we should now see a move up to $3.00
http://www.stockhouse.com/comp_info.asp?symbol=KCL&table=LIST
Bridge Resources TSXV:BUK Recent Price - C$0.32 Entry Price $0.31 Opinion - buy
BUK's Nat Gas well in the North Sea is doing great. In the past week or so there has been several large block trades or crosses going through. The technicals look real good on the chart, pointing to a breakout upward in price at any time, so I see it as a good buy and with these crosses happening, something positive could be brewing.

Technicals
The stock has been trading between narrow Bolinger Bands, often seen before a move and an expansion in the bands. The stock is over the 30 day and 60 day moving average and the 30 day has now crossed the 60 day, all positive momentum. Divergence has been positive for months and MACD heading up. Short term the Fast Stochastic has turned up but the slow Stochasti is lagging which means that there is room to theupside short term until both near 100
http://www.stockhouse.com/comp_info.asp?symbol=BUK&table=LIST
Westernzagros Resources TSX:WZR Recent Price $0.92 Entry Price $0.77 Opinion - sell and buy LFD
We bought into the stock for potential of a big discovery on a well drilled on their exploration project area in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. The company has lots of cash and the well looked like it would be successful but failed on technical completion problems of high pressure.
The stock tanked when this problem was announced and we could not get out at a decent price. It has recovered with the market and other oil stocks, so I am going to sell.
It will be many months before they drill another well here and I think we will have a chance to buy back cheaper at a later date.
I think there will be a bigger bang for the buck in Longford - LFD, see below
http://www.stockhouse.com/comp_info.asp?symbol=WZR&table=LIST
Website - http://www.westernzagros.com
While I am on the topic of Kurdistan in Iraq, probably the strongest oil stock going is one listed in London, called Heritage Oil. There is about 250 million shares out, but it is also listed and trades some on Toronto under symbol HOC and has recently moved to $10 from $3.00 so now has a market cap of $2.5 billion. All this is on one oil well drilled, but it looks like a monster.
The well has a showing of 1,100 meters of oil, I have never seen something so big, but then again we have never seen much on drill results out of the middle east. The rumor going about is that this could be the biggest oil discovery in many years, billions of barrels.
In fact more news came out today, that confirms a multi billion barrel discovery, here is highlights from the news today
# Miran West structure estimated oil in place of between 2.3 billion to 4.2 billion barrels;
# Recovery factor expected to be between 50 per cent to 70 per cent due to the highly fractured nature of the reservoirs;
# From the pressure data recorded during testing management estimates flow rates of between 10,000 to 15,000 barrels of oil per day per well;
# Miran West-1 well has an estimated gross oil-bearing interval of 710 metres;
# Oil produced during testing was medium gravity (approximately 27 degree API), with low sulphur, a low gas-oil ratio and with no water;
http://www.stockhouse.com/comp_info.asp?symbol=HOC&table=LIST
Now the best part
The reason I have been saying to hold on to and buy
Lonford Energy TSXV:LFD Recent Price C$0.45 Entry Price $0.15 Opinion - hold/buy
The rumor on Longford, is there property acquisition is adjacent or in the same area as Heritage Oil. You see the management of Longford, Westernzagros and another junior called Vast Exploration Inc. (TSXV:VST), are all connected and related to each other in what is becoming a huge oil discovery area play in Kurdistan.
VST's Qara Dagh block is directly adjacent to Heritage's Miran block, which is directly to the north and northwest of the block.
If you check VST, they have many of the same management as Longford. I think the best play on this will be Longford, because of a better and tighter share structure and stronger ownership of the stock.
If the rumor is true and Longford announces an acquisition in this area, the stock could quickly soar over $1.00
If you still do not own any Longford I would be buying a position, other wise continue to hold the stock.
http://www.stockhouse.com/comp_info.asp?symbol=LFD&table=LIST
(c) Copyright 2009, Struther's Resource Stock Report
All forecasts and recommendations are based on opinion. Markets change direction with consensus beliefs, which may change at any time and without notice. The author/publisher of this publication has taken every precaution to provide the most accurate information possible. The information & data were obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but because the information & data source are beyond the author's control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate. The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action. Because of the ever-changing nature of information & statistics the author/publisher strongly encourages the reader to communicate directly with the company and/or with their personal investment advisor to obtain up to date information. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change. The author/publisher may or may not have a position in the securities and/or options relating thereto, & may make purchases and/or sales of these securities relating thereto from time to time in the open market or otherwise. Neither the information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein. The author/publisher of this letter is not a qualified financial advisor & is not acting as such in this publication. Struther's Resource Stock Report is not a registered financial advisory. Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.
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