RSUV1482July152008Mkt

 

Resource Stock Update - V14 #8.2 - Markets, NKE, HXD, GEA  - July, 15, 2008

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                                                        Markets

We may be near a temporary bottom in this on going bear market. The S&P 500 has basically been
falling for six straight weeks and with a reversal from a new low today the chart might be forming a
hammer and an up day tomorrow might form a morning doji star.
We will see - but a strong reversal
pattern.

News has been very negative, barometers like the VIX (volatility index) went over 30 today, in a
range where we see bottoms. Volume on the Spyder (S&P 500) has been high. Gold has been moving up
strong, with the next challenge on the chart being the old high over $1,000.  But gold was up $13 or
$14 this morning and then reversed and gave back all of those gains and some more as of this writing
around 1PM.

Crude oil has also retreated again from the $145 area and is down over $6 today.

The senior and mid size gold producers have been moving up with gold and were up again this morning,
but are selling off this afternoon, after 3 days of big gains that seen them up 10% to 15%

The HUI (Gold Bugs Index) is up against it's next resistance around 470/480. It needs to go through
this and past 520 for the gold stocks to confirm a move in gold back over $1,000, but it looks like
it is retreating.

All these things point to a possible short term bottom in this latest bear move for the major market indexes. It may also be a short term top for oil and possibly gold, although I expect gold has the best chance of continuing higher in the next few weeks.

This reversal or bottom may only last a few days or a week, we will know better by what the charts
say over the next couple days.


Nike  NY:NKE                                  Recent Price $57.25
Entry Price - sold short at $68                Opinion - Close Put

Regardless, I think it is a good time to close the Put option on Nike, the July $65 Put is around
$8.00 for gain of 200%. There is not much time left and the stock has performed surprisingly well in
this poor market. It tested resistance in the $53 to $55 area and has bounced back up today

http://www.stockhouse.com/comp_info.asp?symbol=NKE&table=LIST


Horizon BetaPro TSX Bear Plus      TSX:HXD           Recent Price $19.70
Entry Price $21                          Opinion - sell

I am also going to use this point in the market to sell or close out one of our other hedges, the
TSX Bear plus - HXD. We did take part profits in April at $25 so by selling the rest today we will
have a small profit. My idea is to re-establish the position at a lower price.

 

http://www.stockhouse.com/comp_info.asp?symbol=HXD&table=LIST

Gold Eagle         TSX:GEA                 Recent Price $10:45
Entry Price $4.75                Opinion - take part profits

A couple weeks back I mentioned to take part profits in GEA into strength over $9.25 and speculated
the stock may go to around $10 if it's current uptrend pattern continues. The stock is up $0.45
today, so a good idea to take part profits. Be sure to hold some for the long term

http://www.stockhouse.com/comp_info.asp?symbol=GEA&table=LIST


(c) Copyright 2008, Struther's Resource Stock Report


All forecasts and recommendations are based on opinion. Markets change direction with consensus
beliefs, which may change at any time and without notice. The author/publisher of this publication
has taken every precaution to provide the most accurate information possible. The information & data
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