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Resource Stock Update - V14 #8.13 - Markets, Naked Shorting Uncovered - Sept., 9, 2008
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All I can say is - I have never seen anything like this, many resource stocks have given back all the gains of the last 3 years. In many cases 80% of the gains and more of this entire bull market since 2003 have been wiped out. It makes no sense!
Likely, a number of hedge funds have been wiped out and have been liquidating. Naked shorting is rampant and sickening!!
I have looked at numerous long term charts and we are at or around strong long term support areas. Areas on the charts only seen on brief spikes down and levels of 3 or 4 years ago. I am talking the XAU and HUI and other stock indexes.
I will have a complete update with charts to sort through this mess, but for now I want to present you with all the evidence and where to find it - that uncovers the naked shorting abuse in gold stocks. It pales the so called naked shorting in the financials. This is nothing other than corruption and manipulation!
I would suggest you check naked shorts in other U.S. precious metal stocks you know of that I do not show below and would appreciate that you pass the stock symbol on to me
Naked Shorting - Uncovered
Shock and Awe!!!
I found a web site that reports naked short sales with data supplied by the SEC. http://www.failstodeliver.com/
First the Awe!
So I checked all the stocks on our list that trade in the U.S. and the manipulation to bash gold stocks is easily evident. The data only has prices since early 2007, so it is easy to compare the stock price to increases and decrease in naked shorting. The SEC releases the data quarterly, so we just have data to the end of June 2008.
It measures 'fails to deliver' which is stocks sold short with no borrowed stock to cover or delivered after the 3 day settlement period for a trade. Fails to deliver on a given day are a cumulative number of all fails outstanding until that day, plus new fails that occur that day, less fails that settle that day. 10,000 fails or more are required to register and be reported.
Stock-Symbol Reported short Comments interest
Kinross, KGC - 6.5M - heavy naked short selling on Price rise early in 2008 Goldcorp, GG - 9M - many times naked short interest spiked to 1 - 1.5 million Goldfields GFI 7M - many spikes to 1 to 2 million on price rises Barrick ABX 8.5M - increase to 1.3 million on price drop in April 2008 Newmont NEM 15 M - increase to 500,000 on price increases in 2008 Cameco CCJ 8M - spike to 1.5 million on price drop in Aug. 2007 Agnico Eagle AEM - 3M - lots of naked shorting from mid 2007 to early 2008 on a steady price rise, numbers gyrated between 300,000 to 600,000
Yamana AUY 12M - spikes to 1 to 2 million on price increases IMG Gold IAG 2.7M - very little activity Cour D'Alene CDE 73M - big increase in late 2007 on price rise, 1 million to 6 million also spikes to 4 million this summer Stillwater SWC 9M - increase activity in 2008 on price rise and price fall, 200,000 to 500,000 North American Palladium, PAL 4M - big increase to 3 million when stock went down in late 2007
Junior Golds - Exploration - I added in MVG,KBX,SDRG and TRE for more comparisons
Claude Resources CGR - 13,000 - spikes to 500,000 to 800,000 on price increase Exeter XRA 11,000 - increase to 200,000 in mid July on Price rise Great Basin GBN - 1.5M - big increase to 2.5 million in late 2007 on price drop and 1st qrt 2008 on price rise Paramount PZG 18,000 - mostly between 25,000 to 60,000 with spikes to around 100,000 on price drops Tanzanian Royalty TRE - 2M - lots of naked shorting in summer of 2008 with spikes to over 600,000 Platinum Group PLG - 288,000 - fluctuates from 10,000 to 50,000 two increases push stock down Mag Silver MVG -575,000 - activity picked up in 2008 with price decline, numbers only reported to 30,000 though Kimber KBX - 12,000 - activity picked up in late 2007 with large spike to 600,000 on price decline. Silver Dragon SDRG - 31,000 - lots of naked shorting in early 2008 up to 600,000 with price decline Amex Gold AMXG - 14,100 - 2 large increase in naked shorting in mid 2007 and March 2008 on price declines, up to 120,000 to 190,000 reported
On the junior stocks like, XRA, PZG, CRG, KBX, AMXG, SDRG. What concerns me is the SEC data is showing a fair number of naked shorts that far exceeds the reported short interest. So it appears naked shorting is more prominent then reported shorting on some juniors while others like GBN with 1.5 million reported short, Platinum Group with 288,000 reported Mag Silver 575,000 and TRE with 2 million reported also carry a reported short position plus naked shorting.
Now the shock!
So I thought I would check the 19 stocks the SEC had to protect and was shocked to find there was very little naked shorting going on - using the SECs own data. There was some short term spikes of a few million shares here and there and much less, but these are stocks with 1 to 4 billion shares out, so these naked short interests are very insignificant - maybe half an hour of trading volume. The only significant naked short activity I seen was 14 million shares with Royal Bank of Scotland but they have almost 10 billion shares outstanding.
To be fair, the data reported is to end of June only, so perhaps the naked shorting seen big increases in July - before the 15th, but we will probably have to wait 6 or 7 weeks for the next qtr. data to verify
Junior gold stocks with just 50 to 100 million shares outstanding are seeing as much naked shorting as many of these financials that have 1,000 to 5,000 times as many shares outstanding. For example, many days Paramont is only seeing 10,000 to 20,000 shares traded so naked short sales of just 5,000 (would not be reported) or 10,000 can dramatically effect the price where 1 million shares of naked short sales on one of these banks can be less than half an hour of trading in a given day.
You can go to http://shortsqueeze.com/ and get short quotes, it shows the reported short position (not any of the naked shorts), shares outstanding and average daily trading volume.
The 19 protected Financials
Stock Symbol, shares out - comments
Fannie Mae - FNM 1,076M - little naked shorting in 2008, some spikes in 2007 Freddie MAE - FRE 647M - seen short term spikes, up to 13 million naked shorts in early 2008, but very little naked shorts since April Lehman Brothers - LEH 694M - 1 spike to almost 2 million naked shorts in March, other than that mostly small amounts around 400,000 Merrill Lynch - MER 1,500M - short term spikes up to about 500,000 shares Morgan Stanley - MS 1,100M -one short term spike to 1.6m in Jan 2008, none since Goldman Sachs - GS 400M - two spikes to about 600,000 in 2007 and 2008 but nothing much else Allianz Aktiengesellschaft (AZ), 4,520M - one short term spike to 2.5 million in early 2008, other than that nothing else Bank Of America Corp (BAC), 4,560M - some spikes to 2.5 million Barclays PLC (BCS),1,633M - most naked shorts was around 500,00 BNP Paribas (BNPQY.PK), - most was around 400,000 Citigroup Inc (C), 5,160M - one short term spike to 8 million, nothing much else Credit Suisse Group (CS),1,010M - some spikes to 500,00 or 600,000 Daiwa Securities Group Inc (DSECY), - only 200,000 share or so Deutsche Bank Group AG (DB), 500M - some spikes to 350,000 HSBC Holdings plc (HBC), 2,360M - up to around 700,000 JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), 3,500M - couple short term spikes to 1.5 million Mizuho Financial Gp Adr (MFG), 5,700M - pretty much nothing Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), 9.500M - one broader spike to 14.7 million in June2008 UBS AG (UBS). 2,012M - couple short term spikes to 2.5 million
(c) Copyright 2008, Struther's Resource Stock Report
All forecasts and recommendations are based on opinion. Markets change direction with consensus beliefs, which may change at any time and without notice. The author/publisher of this publication has taken every precaution to provide the most accurate information possible. The information & data were obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but because the information & data source are beyond the author's control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate. The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action. Because of the ever-changing nature of information & statistics the author/publisher strongly encourages the reader to communicate directly with the company and/or with their personal investment advisor to obtain up to date information. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change. The author/publisher may or may not have a position in the securities and/or options relating thereto, & may make purchases and/or sales of these securities relating thereto from time to time in the open market or otherwise. Neither the information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein. The author/publisher of this letter is not a qualified financial advisor & is not acting as such in this publication. Struther's Resource Stock Report is not a registered financial advisory. Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.
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