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Resource Stock Report - V14 #6.2 - Long Term Investing, PZG, NMB - June, 18, 2008
PO Box 1020 Owen Sound, Ontario, Canada N4K 6H6
resource@bmts.com Yearly subscription $199 cdn/year or US$209
Long term investing
I get lots of emails about when this stock or that stock is going to double or move up to a near term target. But the vast majority if not everyone fails to hold a long term position and make the enormous profits.
I have had all kinds of stocks go up thousands of percent and not one email from anyone who made that profit. As far as I know, investors, including my readers fail time and time again to hold long term positions.
I don't know how else to drive this point home, sure you can take some profits out and get all your money out and multiples of it, but leave some on the table for big gains.
It is not like you have not had numerous or immense opportunity and to try and drive this home I am going to list all kinds of examples, picked in this newsletter and recommended to hold along with taking profits on the way up.
We bought Barrick Gold, Franco Nevada and Glamis Gold as penny stocks and they have gone up 50 or 100 times, not one note or email from anyone who made that profit. $1,000 investment held in any of these would be worth $300,000 to $600,000 today.
Western Silver, we bought at $0..70 and sold at $10.50, not one email. Then we bought Western Silver again at $0.90 and sold at $33 for 3,500% profit, not one email. The only stock I know that you could have made over 1,000% twice and 3,500% the second time.
Research in Motion, RIM, bought at $3.50 sold at $100, not one email 1000 shares at $3.50 sold for $100,000.
Ultra Petroleum, paid $0.50, now $95 not one email from anyone that held the stock. $1000 held long term would be 2000 shares, now worth $190,000.
Oilexco, recent and still in its growth stage, paid $0.86, now about $19 up 2,100%, not one email from anyone who is sitting on that profit.
Connacher up 700% and not one email from anyone who has that profit
Platinum Group PTM up 900% and Exeter XRC up 700% and not one email from anyone sitting on that profit.
We are up 1,000% on Goldcorp, 600% on Yamana YRI and not one email from anyone who has held the stock since the original buy price.
Up 1,200% on Cameco CCO and 800% on Haliburton HAL and Yup, you guessed it - not one email from anyone who is sitting on those huge profits
Last year Glamis Gold GLG was taken out for 1700% profit, Bema BGO was taken over for a 1,100% profit, Rio Narcea RNG taken out for 600% profit and Miramar MAE bought out for 600% profit, And once again, not anyone I know made that profit.
In 2006 we had Viceroy - VYE bought out for a 1,430% profit and that one you only had to hold for about 2 years. And we sold Alberta Star - ASX that year for 550% profit, Silver Dragon - SDRG for 470% profit and Desert Sun DSM for 390% just holding those three, 1 year. Grove Energy -GRV for 400% profit. No surprise, did not hear of one soul making those huge profits.
It cannot be that these are rare cases and I am just blowing my horn. I just listed 20 examples of the past couple years. Now perhaps everyone that reads this newsletter is very modest and never mentions any of these absurd gains. But I find that hard to believe and am afraid and think I am right, the problem is nobody holds a long term position in any stocks.
So please if you make these huge gains, let me know. It is a great feeling to know of anyone making a big kill in any stock
There is a common theme to most of these stocks, they are mostly junior companies that get their hands on great assets and have a management team that wants to build wealth. They have all made large mineral or oil&gas discoveries. Or had a dominant position in a market, like Cameco, Haliburton and RIM. There was a couple that just became over valued, such as SDRG and ASX.
Nobody can predict the future. If I would have told you Ultra Petroleum would go to $200 when we bought it and that is where it is based on stock splits. You would never believe me. And I knew their project had big potential but never knew it would be as big as it has turned out.
This is true with countless stocks on our list. Oilexco is still got huge upside on its land position. Maybe they will discovery an elephant that nobody dreamed of.
Platinum Group and Exeter keep adding ounces and making discoveries. Many of our juniors like NMB, PEM, GEA, WTM, ER, OK and FSR to name a few are making discoveries and they could be huge. We just don't know the final outcome.
All I can say is be patient. Don't be in a hurry to sell winners, especially those that are on to a discovery and still expanding it.
I will also add Paramount to this list. I know they are making a huge discovery, but I don't know how big it will turn out. Nobody knows and they could make 2 or 3 more discoveries on their massive land holdings. Paramount has two things going. They have a huge discovery in process and are a dominant player in one of the best gold/silver belts in the world.
Everyone I hear from is worried what the stock price will be next week or in a couple months. Wondering when it will hit $3 or $4. I don't care, I am just going to hold it for years or until it looks like they have run out of potential. Sure I will take some profits on the way up, but once you do that just park your winners and ride them.
Paramount Gold&Silver AMEX/TSX:PGZ Recent Price C$1.80 Entry Price $1.00 Opinion - strong buy on breakout
I lasted updated Paramount about a month ago, speculating the bottom was in with an intraday dip to $1.16 and I touched on it a couple weeks ago in regards to program and fund selling in Paramount and other juniors.
The stock broke out on the chart yesterday and clearly the next up move is underway. It appears the sellers in the stock have been exhausted and I expect this stock is now in much stronger hands.
I am hearing rumors that one of the major brokerage firms is going to begin coverage and we should see the new resource estimate any time now.
The market is signaling that good news and higher prices are in the near future.
Last week they put out some drill results that were among the better results in the past several weeks with hole SM-44 that had several intercepts including 0.43 meters at 5.59 g/t Au and 3,070 g/t Ag as part of a wider, not quite so high grade intercept. That is over 3 kilograms silver or almost 100 ounces per ton.
That is the nature of these Clavos, you can have a low grade intersect and a few feet away a bonanza grade intersect. Typically the grades are much higher in a bulk sample or in mining as skinny drill holes will miss a lot of the bonanza pockets. These new assay results have extended ‘Clavo 99’ to a known width of at least 650 meters and demonstrated continuity of mineralization from the surface to a depth of nearly 400 meters. Hole SM-42 had a significant vein intercept of 5.85 meters (true width) grading 6.06 g/t Au and 16.1 g/t Ag. It also contained 0.93% Pb and 2.56% Zn. With the first significant base metal intersects in Clavo 99 it tells me that at 400 meters they are getting lower in the system, but it still could go hundreds of meters deeper.
The new resource estimate will not include a lot of the step outs or extensions in Clavo 99 as recent drill results would have not been included in the calculation that started several weeks ago.
Anyway, I am expecting and hoping to see a new resource number of over 100 million ounce silver equivalent. That would be about 3 times the last estimate. Paramount has now got a much better handle on the structure controls and with 4 drill rigs now working, the resource is going to expand much quicker and perhaps we are looking at another double or triple in the resource number by the year end.
I do not think there is much of a chance left to buy the stock under $2.00, so I would be adding to positions or averaging down without waiting much longer
Investor Relations: Chris Halkai Tel: 1-613-226-9881 Toll-free: 1-866-481-2233
Website - http://www.paramountgold.com
http://www.stockhouse.com/comp_info.asp?symbol=PGZ&table=LIST
Normabec Mining TSXV:NMB, Frankfurt:N6M Recent Price C$0.42 Entry Price $0.43 Opinion - strong buy
I am also hearing rumours that NMB has a lot of good news coming and a resource number. Some followers are talking $0.60 in the short term and I see that as quite attainable. Just like Paramount, I can't believe the stock is as cheap as it is. The best action is to always take advantage of market inefficiencies, meaning low valuation compared to peers.
Phone number : (450) 441-9177, Fax : (450) 653-3721
email: info@normabec.com
Website http://www.normabec.com
http://www.stockhouse.com/comp_info.asp?symbol=NMB&table=LIST
(c) Copyright 2008, Struther's Resource Stock Report
All forecasts and recommendations are based on opinion. Markets change direction with consensus beliefs, which may change at any time and without notice. The author/publisher of this publication has taken every precaution to provide the most accurate information possible. The information & data were obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but because the information & data source are beyond the author's control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate. The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action. Because of the ever-changing nature of information & statistics the author/publisher strongly encourages the reader to communicate directly with the company and/or with their personal investment advisor to obtain up to date information. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change. The author/publisher may or may not have a position in the securities and/or options relating thereto, & may make purchases and/or sales of these securities relating thereto from time to time in the open market or otherwise. Neither the information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein. The author/publisher of this letter is not a qualified financial advisor & is not acting as such in this publication. Struther's Resource Stock Report is not a registered financial advisory. Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.
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