|
Resource Stock Update - V14 #5.5 Potash - PON, GEA, HYLK - June, 5, 2008
PO Box 1020 Owen Sound, Ontario, Canada N4K 6H6
resource@bmts.com Yearly subscription $199 cdn/year or US$209
Potash North TSXV:PON Recent Price C$2.05 Entry Price $1.35 Opinion - buy on weakness near $1.80
I hope everyone got a position in this stock early on Wednesday as I suggested. The stock traded big volume of over 6 million shares that day and opened at $1.40 and traded down as low as $1.16 in the morning, half way between is $1.28. I will pick $1.35 as our entry price as this is the average between $1.16 and $1.54 - closing price.
The stock already hit my near term target of $2.00 today and I now believe that Potash North may trade at a premium to most potash juniors and certainly above the average for a few reasons
Potash North is focused exclusively on the exploration, evaluation and potential development of 2 subsurface potash permit application areas totaling 185,000 acres in the Saskatchewan Potash Basin. The permit application areas are near the two largest Potash Mines in the world with existing rail, electrical grids and highways.
Immediately adjacent to Potash Corp of Saskatchewan Esterhazy operations – the largest potash producing facility in the world
Two select drill intercepts yielded encouraging potash grades at depths similar to Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan’s Esterhazy Operation (Largest Potash Mine in the World)
The stock has attracted a lot of institutional interest because Potash North's backers include the high-profile mining promoters Robert Friedland and Lukas Lundin. "People are going be paying big money for these situations," said Craig Angus, a gold industry veteran who has been named president and chief executive officer of the new venture.
I would still be a buyer of the stock on any pull back or weakness towards $1.80
http://www.potashnorth.com
http://www.stockhouse.com/comp_info.asp?symbol=PON&table=LIST
Contact :Arlen Hansen, Kin Communications Inc. Call 604-684-6730 Toll Free: 1-866-684-6730
Gold Eagle TSX:GEA Recent Price C$7.50 Entry Price $4.75 Opinion - strong buy
Gold Eagle released a resource estimate of between 9 and 13 million ounces of gold. For simple math, lets say 10 million ounces. GEA has about 100 million shares out, so at $7.50 the market is valuing this at $75 per ounce and $65 per ounce if you subtract GEA's $100 million plus cash on hand.
From what I know, the deposit is too deep to calculate a 43-101 resource, because the drill hole location cannot be accurate enough, it can wander too far in this kind of depth. That does not mean the gold resource is not a deposit or economic, quite the contrary. This deposit is huge, very high grade and located in a prolific mining belt next to past producing mines and current mines that are among the lowest cost producers in the world. The stock should be valued at least twice as high at $150 per ounce, or more.
GEA will have to do underground exploration to prove this up, that is their intent and they have the cash. By the time this is complete, within the next year or so we will be looking at a $20 stock or better.
I would not be surprised to see this at 15 million ounces, valued at over $200 per ounce for a stock price of $60.
At current prices, it is also a strong technical point on the chart to buy, see below.
This stock should be in every gold portfolio - it is currently the best gold discovery since the gold bull market began in 2002
Following is details of the news release last week
Gold Eagle Mines released an exploration target potential for the Bruce channel which has been prepared by Peter George, PGeo, of Geoex Ltd. In Mr. George's opinion, the exploration target potential of the Bruce channel, based on the drilling completed to the end of 2007, is 14.1 million tonnes to 16.5 million tonnes grading between 20 grams gold per tonne to 25 grams gold per tonne, yielding an in situ potential of between 9.0 million to 13.3 million ounces of gold.
Along the Bruce channel, at approximately 800 metres below surface, lies the Bruce channel discovery mineralized envelope. This mineralized envelope, which remains open in all directions, is currently estimated to extend a minimum of 1,100 metres vertically with a horizontal footprint of approximately 720 metres northeast-southwest and 450 metres northwest-southeast.
The author's opinions on the geological potential of the Bruce channel are based upon a thorough review of drilling completed along the Bruce channel, which consisted of 165 drill holes and wedges totalling approximately 103,708 metres completed to year-end 2007, and 329 significant composited assay intervals developed by the Author.
Based on the Author's composite assay database, 100% of the composites resulted in an average grade of 9.0 grams gold per tonne, indicating potential for 14.1 million tonnes to 16.5 million tonnes containing between 4.1 million to 4.7 million ounces of gold. Based on the Author's composite assay database, the upper 50% of the composites resulted in an average grade of 16.8 grams gold per tonne, indicating potential for 7.4 million tonnes to 8.5 million tonnes containing between 4.0 million to 4.6 million ounces of gold.
In the Author's experience, reconciliation of surface exploration drill holes with underground bulk samples and stope production data generally indicates that wide-spaced exploration drill holes understate both the grade and width of mineralized structures by factors of 100% to 200%. The Author therefore concludes that the composite assay database indicates geological potential for an average grade in the 18 to 27 grams gold per tonne range.
The Bruce channel mineralization is considered to be the down-plunge extension of the past-producing Cochenour Willans ore body, which is projected to enter the north boundary of the property at a depth of approximately 700 metres below surface. The Cochenour Willans mine produced approximately 1.2 million ounces of gold from 2 million tonnes of ore at a recovered grade of 18.5 grams gold per tonne. Allowing for 15% mine dilution and 95% mill recovery, this indicates an in situ grade of approximately 22.9 grams gold per tonne.
Recognizing the limitations of assessing the grade of Archean lode gold deposits based solely on drill hole data, the Author considers the current drill exploration program has had a higher than average hit ratio in terms of "significant intersections". This conclusion is based on Rogers (1982) who noted that at the Dome mine in Timmins, in areas that were ultimately mined, 40% to 60% of holes completed through multi-vein gold structures and 50% to 80% of holes completed through single vein structures failed to return any gold values in excess of 1.7 grams per tonne.
In the Author's opinion, these factors must be taken into consideration when evaluating the significance of surface drilling results as, "the role of drilling is paramount in the success or failure of 'making a mine' however, drill results are often misleading when consideration is given only to the economic value of the drill core assays themselves." (Rogers 1982).
Therefore, the Author believes that it is reasonable to determine the in situ gold target potential of the Bruce channel based upon average grades in the 20 to 25 grams gold per tonne range that straddles the average grade of the up-plunge Cochenour Willans ore body.
In conclusion, the Author's opinion is that the exploration target potential of the Bruce channel, based on the drilling completed to the end of 2007, is 14.1 million tonnes to 16.5 million tonnes grading between 20 grams gold per tonne to 25 grams gold per tonne, yielding an in situ potential of between 9.0 million to 13.3 million ounces of gold.
The potential quantity and grade estimates presented herein are conceptual in nature, there has been insufficient exploration to define a "mineral Resource" as defined in NI 43-101, and it is uncertain if further exploration will result in the target being delineated as a mineral Resource.
Disclosure of the potential quantity and grade of a potential mineral deposit that is to be the target of further exploration is permitted under Sections 2.3(2) and 2.3(3) of National Instrument 43-101 ("NI 43-101") provided that the necessary cautionary language is appended to any reference to the potential target estimate, and the basis for determining the potential target is clearly stated.
In the Author's opinion current drilling on the property is too wide-spaced to enable a NI 43-101 compliant resource estimate. However, visual inspection of drill sections has given the Author confidence that there is a strong apparent structural trend that future surface drilling, underground drilling and underground development will demonstrate to have continuity.
stock chart

You can see from the chart that it is trading at the 200 day moving average, that has provided support before and at the bottom of the bollinger bands. It is also at the bottom of its recent trading range and a level where it bottomed at in February and April
Tel.:(416) 368-3949
Website - http://www.goldeaglemines.com
http://www.stockhouse.com/comp_info.asp?symbol=GEA&table=LIST
Hylake Gold CNQ:HYLK Frankfurt:HYK Pinks:HYLKF Recent Price $0.40 Entry Price $0.70 Opinion - strong buy
Hylake's properties are right on strike and trend with Gold Eagle. Hylake has been getting high grade drill results near surface and has three past producing mines on their properties.
These are the reasons and the cheap price is why I see this stock as such a strong buy
I don't know how much longer these gold/silver stocks are going to stay at depressed prices, but my bet is not much longer.
Do not be surprised to see a strong move upwards over the summer when it is least expected
- http://www.hylake.com
http://www.stockhouse.com/comp_info.asp?symbol=HYLK&table=LIST
Tel. 416-203-9181
(c) Copyright 2008, Struther's Resource Stock Report
All forecasts and recommendations are based on opinion. Markets change direction with consensus beliefs, which may change at any time and without notice. The author/publisher of this publication has taken every precaution to provide the most accurate information possible. The information & data were obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but because the information & data source are beyond the author's control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate. The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action. Because of the ever-changing nature of information & statistics the author/publisher strongly encourages the reader to communicate directly with the company and/or with their personal investment advisor to obtain up to date information. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change. The author/publisher may or may not have a position in the securities and/or options relating thereto, & may make purchases and/or sales of these securities relating thereto from time to time in the open market or otherwise. Neither the information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein. The author/publisher of this letter is not a qualified financial advisor & is not acting as such in this publication. Struther's Resource Stock Report is not a registered financial advisory. Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.
|